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Glasgow
+44 (0)141 221 2984

Edinburgh
+44 (0)131 225 6366

Stirling
+44 (0)1786 451745

Dumbarton
+44 (0)1389 765238

Hamilton
+44 (0)1698 459444

French Duncan

Not So Premium Bond!

27 August 2013

National Savings & Investments are cutting the prize money on premium bonds.

In June, National Savings & Investments (NS&I) announced reductions of between 0.4% and 0.5% from 12 September on three of its variable rate offerings, the most significant being a cut in the Income Bond rate from 1.75% to 1.25%. At the time, some of the press coverage commented that the move increased the relative appeal of premium bonds, where the underlying prize money equated to 1.5% tax-free interest. 

Last month NS&I reacted to the resultant inflows into premium bonds by cutting the prize money rate to 1.3% from 1 August. The lower rate will result in two changes:

  • The chances of any one bond winning a prize in the monthly draw will fall from 1:24,000 to 1:26,000.

 

  • The distribution of winnings will alter (see chart), with an even higher proportion (98.1%) of successful bonds earning their owners the minimum prize of £25.

1.3% tax-free doesn’t look bad if you are a higher rate taxpayer – you would have to earn 2.17% gross interest to match it, which beats any instant access account currently available. However, the 1.3% is theoretical and what you would actually earn depends upon lady luck. The statisticians say that the skew of prizes and the minimum of £25 means on average you will earn less than 1.3%.   

Value of prize

Number of prizes in July 2013

Number of prizes in August 2013 (estimate)

£1,000,000

1

1

£100,000

5

3

£50,000

9

6

£25,000

20

11

£10,000

49

30

£5,000

97

58

£1,000

1,142

789

£500

3,426

2,367

£100

33,552

11,891

£50

33,552

11,891

£25

1,831,461

1,724,014

TOTAL

1,903,314

1,751,061

 

P.S. If you are thinking of that £1 million jackpot, then don’t plan your retirement around it: the odds of winning the top prize in the monthly draw are now less than 1 in  45,500,000,000.

To talk about your investment options please contact our financial services team who will be happy to meet with you and discuss or call us on 0141 221 2984.